Commentary on Political Economy

Thursday 2 September 2021

ANIMADVERSIONS OF A FRANCISCAN FRIAR

This from Bloomberg : 



Asset Income Is a Growing Source of Wealth — and of Geographic Inequality

Income inequality is often measured by wages alo 

ne. But looking at wealth generated from assets across the U.S. reveals immense geographic disparity. 


By Tony Frangie Mawad

30 August 2021, 10:40 pm GMT+8

A home in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. Surrounding Teton County has the highest asset income per capita.

A home in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. Surrounding Teton County has the highest asset income per capita. Photographer: Richer Images/Construction Photography/AvalonAvalon/Hulton Archive

Income inequality in the U.S. is usually measured by wages, but that’s far from the only way Americans accumulate more wealth. Income from assets — like stocks, rental properties and interest — now makes up one-fifth of total personal income in the U.S. Yet most Americans have few assets besides their primary residence and retirement account, and even those are usually out of reach for low-income workers. 


The accumulation of asset wealth is concentrated geographically, and the divide between counties with and without significant income from assets has grown exponentially, according to a new report by the Inclusive Wealth Building Initiative from the DC-based Economic Innovation Group. 


Between 1969 and 1990, the gap between the top and the bottom U.S. counties by average asset income doubled — and then increased sixfold between 1990 and 2019, the report finds. The researchers use data from the Bureau of Economic Analysis and the Internal Revenue Service to measure asset income by county and better understand “asset poverty,” a concept that has not been well understood. 


“Over the past few decades, asset income has skyrocketed in many of the country’s most prosperous places even as it stagnated for the bottom 90 percent of counties,” reads an interactive map that accompanies the report. This has perpetuated a growing divide between what the researchers describe as “wealthy enclaves” and “asset deserts.” 


relates to Asset Income Is a Growing Source of Wealth — and of Geographic Inequality

The darker the color, the more assets per capita a county has. Credit: Economic Innovation Group

Asset-based income is usually concentrated in counties that are centers of finance, mining, technology and recreational destinations. But it’s scarce in the remainder of counties.


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“As our economy has been financialized we’ve seen the returns of holding assets increase substantially over the past couple of decades,” says Kenan Fikri, research director of the Economic Innovation Group. The rise of the digital economy and the loosening of monetary policy exacerbated this process, says Fikri, allowing asset-holders to enjoy greater income and “super returns in technology companies.” 


On a per capita basis, asset holdings are almost nonexistent across much of Appalachia, the Midwest and the Deep South. Meanwhile, the Mountain West has some of the greatest inequality in asset income. For example, Teton County in Wyoming, home of the Jackson Hole ski area, has the highest asset income per capita in the U.S. at $164,400, while neighboring Uinta County has just a $7,100 per capita income.


This wealth gap is also enormous in metropolitan areas, as the income of tech and finance hubs skyrockets. For example, in New York City, the median household income of Manhattan is more than double that of the neighboring Bronx borough. There is also a racial wealth gap that exists within Manhattan: Most zip codes that have exceptionally high dividends — clustered around Central Park — are majority white, with some split between white and Asian. Meanwhile, zip codes that are majority Black or Hispanic — clustered in and above Harlem — are below the national average for dividends per capita. 


These disparities persist throughout the country. Minority, working-class and recent-immigrant counties are asset poor. Among the 100 most populous counties, the 15 with the highest asset incomes are majority white, and more than half of residents in these counties have at least a bachelor’s degree. Conversely, the 15 counties with the lowest asset income are majority non-white and only 25% of its residents have bachelor’s degrees.


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Within this unequal panorama, the most common financial assets of American households are retirement saving accounts such as 401(k)s. Yet, these systems leave out “a large fraction of the bottom half of the workforce,” including people in service industries, hourly jobs and other sectors where employer-sponsored retirement plans are rare, explains Fikri. This leaves low-income workers with few tools to build wealth and ensure their own financial security.


The disparities also exacerbate the tax advantages that professional and upper-class professionals get from the 401(k) system, says Fikri, and can particularly disadvantage Black Americans. 


To democratize access to assets, the Inclusive Wealth Building Initiative has proposed expanding access to a retirement savings plan modeled after the federal Thrift Savings Plan in which the federal government would match the contributions of low-income workers without access to an employer-provided plan. This plan could enable a worker earning $30,000 a year to retire with nearly $600,000 by saving 5% of their salary over 40 years.


The proposal has drawn support from both liberal and conservative economists: It was developed by conservative economist Kevin Hassett, the former chairman of the Council of Economic Advisors during the Trump administration, and Teresa Ghilarducci, a labor economist from the progressive-leaning New School. 


“It’s one idea that would further equity,” says Fikri, “and help more people build wealth and have stakes in the economy.” 

 About time, but it's only a ripple! If Western governments do not act soon,  these parasites will end up devouring what remains of their rotting societies...


https://www.wsj.com/articles/google-apple-hit-in-south-korea-by-worlds-first-law-ending-their-dominance-over-app-store-payments-11630403335?mod=mhp

Karen Maley at the AFR is a finer logician than Soros... But I still think that the Magyar billionaire is the more consistent of the two. Now, THIS is a proper "Catch-22" situation (people always mistake it for a simple dilemma or for a vicious circle). It is NOT the case that Xi wants "capitalism" to serve the State! Rather, Xi KNOWS that Western states use "capitalism" to impose THEIR will! Maley's mistake is to believe that capitalism is a "market mechanism" INDEPENDENT OF the State. But BOTH Xi and Soros know that this is NOT the case... Except that Soros is a hypocrite or a liar and Xi is not.

Maley is the mad soldier who wants to keep fighting.  Xi and Soros are the sane soldiers who want to rort capitalism for different end-goals! Xi feigns support for capitalism but knows it is a Western political tool. Soros knows this, too, but PRETENDS that it is not a political tool! 

Maley neither knows nor pretends: she BELIEVES!

https://www.afr.com/companies/financial-services/what-investors-need-to-understand-about-xi-jinping-s-view-of-markets-20210831-p58nex

In Corriere today : 

" L’Europa è da decenni un continente specializzato nell’arte di «salvare la pace» ricorrendo esclusivamente alla diplomazia. Non c’è Paese europeo che esiti al cospetto della prospettiva di mediare, interloquire e dialogare. Meglio se con i regimi più illiberali della terra. È l’unica cosa che sappiamo fare. Nei giorni del lutto si versano lacrime e si alza la voce. Poi si torna immediatamente a mediare, interloquire, dialogare. Il che può apparire positivo a fronte di grandi sconvolgimenti come quelli di questi giorni. Ma non è detto che un insieme di 27 Paesi mediatori — talvolta in ordine sparso — del tutto incapaci di far valere, neanche in casi estremi, la forza, sia in grado di dar vita ad un mondo più pacificato di quello che ci lasciamo alle spalle."

https://www.corriere.it/opinioni/21_agosto_31/esitante-europa-fronte-crisi-mondiali-5542bc80-0a88-11ec-9ad8-3887e018c8c4.shtml

https://www.nytimes.com/2021/08/31/business/stock-market-record.html

Great stuff from Bartholomewsz: "Privatize profits, socialize losses". Xi has looked into the present of capitalism and does not like its future! Unlike the West, he is doing something about it...

China is grappling with a ‘devil’s bargain’
Stephen Bartholomeusz
Stephen Bartholomeusz
Senior business columnist
September 1, 2021 — 11.58am
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The debt-riddled underbelly of some of China’s bigger companies perhaps provides another layer of insight into Xi Jinping’s abrupt imposition of a new and aggressive approach to “common prosperity” on the country’s biggest enterprises.

For decades it was the entrepreneurs who helped turbocharge China’s growth rate, particularly during the ultra-high growth in the decade after the financial crisis where Chinese companies gorged on the torrents of liquidity, the access to cheap debt and the stimulus China poured into its domestic system and economy.

Billionaire Hui Ka Yan is the chairman of one of China’s biggest property developers, Evergrande, which is faltering.
Billionaire Hui Ka Yan is the chairman of one of China’s biggest property developers, Evergrande, which is faltering.CREDIT:BLOOMBERG

For a variety of reasons, not the least of which was the flaunting of wealth and perceived power and independence from the state of tech entrepreneurs like Alibaba’s Jack Ma, China’s authorities launched an assault on the big tech companies this year and pressured their billionaire founders to “donate” towards its goal of common prosperity.

That heralded a radical shift, the biggest in 40 years, from an emphasis on creating wealth towards redistributing it.

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Before COVID the authorities had been attempting to drain leverage from their financial system and corporate sector – particularly the property sector – an effort that was put on hold while they responded to the pandemic with fiscal and monetary stimulus. Until the Delta strain emerged this year they had been resuming that effort.

This year it has become clearer why the authorities were so focused on deleveraging as the dire financial condition of some of China’s biggest enterprises has been revealed.

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The start of the rolling assault came after Alibaba’s Jack Ma made some derisive public comments about China’s financial system, its regulation and the big state-owned banks within it last year.
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Billionaire crackdown: China’s risky new pathway to Mao’s ‘common prosperity’
Stephen Bartholomeusz
Stephen Bartholomeusz
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HNA, the sprawling conglomerate that was once one of the world’s largest asset buyers (and a former shareholder in Virgin Australia) collapsed into bankruptcy with debts of more than $100 billion at the start of this year after several years of attempts to unwind its debt-fuelled global spending spree. It was placed in state hands last year.

Huarong, set up by the state to manage bad debts within China’s banking system after the Asian financial crisis in the late 1990s, is in the process of being bailed out now by state-owned enterprises after losing about $22 billion last year.

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It has about $330 billion of liabilities and, along with the bad debts it was supposed to manage, a disparate collection of businesses and other assets it had acquired in a spending spree well beyond its original mandate. Its chairman, and the architect of its expansion, was found guilty of corruption and executed in January.

There have also been a string of other defaults and threatened defaults among Chinese state-owned and private entities over the past year or so – yields of China’s offshore high-yield bonds have been trading at double-digit levels – but the other “whale” in trouble is one of China’s biggest property developers, China Evergrande.

With most of China’s house wealth tied up in property and Evergrande one of the country’s largest developers its struggles are of national significance and concern. It has been engaged in a firesale of assets that has reduced its debt load from a peak of about $180 billion last year to about $120 billion but it has total liabilities – including trade creditors – of more than three times that amount.

HNA, Huarong and Evergrande are almost certainly the tip of an iceberg, with the continuing attempts by Beijing to deleverage and restructure its largest enterprises an indication of the perceived/real fragility and vulnerability of the corporate sector.

Its warning that it might default on its debt on Tuesday sent shudders through offshore bond markets – its bonds are trading at less than 40 cents in the dollar – where the company has been China’s biggest issuer of junk bonds. More than 40 per cent of its debts fall due within the next 12 months.


The authorities wouldn’t have been taken by surprise. They directed property developers to reduce their leverage and stop issuing new debt last year and called in Evergrande last month to put pressure on the company to stabilised its finances without destabilising financial and property markets.

There has been speculation of a state-led bailout of Evergrande – which underscores its significance within China.

This year it has become clearer why the authorities were so focused on deleveraging as the dire financial condition of some of China’s biggest enterprises has been revealed.
This year it has become clearer why the authorities were so focused on deleveraging as the dire financial condition of some of China’s biggest enterprises has been revealed.CREDIT:BLOOMBERG

Despite the interventions in Huarong (where the majority shareholder, the Ministry of Finance, made it almost inevitable) and HNA – the authorities would, however, be reluctant to bail out yet another over-extended group and add to the moral hazard already pervasive in an economy so state-dominated.

HNA, Huarong and Evergrande are almost certainly the tip of an iceberg, with the continuing attempts by Beijing to deleverage and restructure its largest enterprises an indication of the perceived/real fragility and vulnerability of the corporate sector.

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The examples of threatening corporate recklessness and ill-discipline, along with the hubris and conspicuous wealth and prospective power of the billionaire tech entrepreneurs – China has more billionaires than any other country – would almost certainly have unsettled the authorities and have contributed to the crackdown on the big tech companies and the shift in broad national strategy from creating wealth with an expectation that it would trickle down to redistributing it.

In the West there is a phrase that encapsulates the dilemma confronting the Chinese authorities in dealing with the likes of HNA, Huarong and Evergrande and which fits neatly with the new emphasis on common prosperity.

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There’s little doubt that Huarong has been seen by Beijing as having systemic importance and that allowing it to fail would send shockwaves through the financial system and markets.
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The two ‘bad banks’ that are too big to fail
Stephen Bartholomeusz
Stephen Bartholomeusz
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“Privatise the profits, socialise the losses” is essentially the devil’s bargain the most indebted of China’s big companies have presented Beijing. That’s a difficult enough proposition to swallow in a free market economy. It’s a near-impossible one within a communist one, even one with a model of “socialism with Chinese characteristics.”

It would seem the authorities have redefined the model, adding a lot more socialism and reducing the “Chinese characteristics.”

Another sensible piece - which tells you how absent the absentee Western State really is...
https://www.nytimes.com/2021/08/31/opinion/ransomware-bitcoin-cybersecurity.html


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