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Europe battles Russia disinformation ‘avalanche’
Ahead of EU-wide elections, online fake news and hybrid operations have increased
The viral video clip showed a wellknown television presenter announcing that French President Emmanuel Macron had cancelled a planned trip to Kyiv because of an assassination plot.
The Élysée Palace and TV station France 24 debunked the video as fake, generated by artificial intelligence. But it spread, particularly after former Russia president Dmitry Medvedev reposted it, describing Macron as “scared of a real or presumed assassination”.
Officials in Brussels and other European capitals are warning that more vigilance and tougher penalties for online platforms will be needed to counter Russia’s disinformation campaigns designed to weaken support for Ukraine and interfere with European parliament elections in June.
With Russia-leaning nationalist parties polling strongly in France, Germany and elsewhere, the Kremlin is boosting their messaging, including by emphasising the west’s fading willingness to send aid to Kyiv. Vera Jourova, the European Commission’s vice-president leading work on disinformation, warned the elections would be hit by an “avalanche of disinformation”, including deepfake videos to erode public trust in the vote.
She said a “special effort” was needed to protect the EU vote from an increase in technology and potential “hidden manipulation and foreign interference, especially from the side of the Kremlin”.
The commission is next week expected to roll out stricter online disinformation rules that could fine TikTok, X and other social media platforms if they fail to curb deepfakes and other false news.
The EU’s diplomatic service said it uncovered 750 disinformation campaigns in 2023 in a report in January that categorised foreign influence campaigns as a “security threat”, especially during this year’s elections.
France has asked Viginum, a foreign disinformation watchdog, to root out such destabilisation efforts. Viginum not only monitors Russia-linked social media accounts and channels on messaging apps such as Telegram but also exposes so-called influence operations.
Russia has a history of disinformation and psychological operations. After the Soviet Union’s collapse, Moscow increasingly relied on state TV broadcasters Russia Today and Sputnik to spread its messages to foreign audiences. Then, Moscow shifted online with troll farms, hacking operations and disinformation drives targeting elections in Europe, the US and the UK over the past decade.
The pivot online has accelerated since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022, which prompted the EU to ban RT and Sputnik, said Maxime Audinet, a researcher at Irsem, a think-tank affiliated with the French armed forces.
“It is a game of cat and mouse,” said Audinet. “Russia has adapted to the new environment since the war in Ukraine, and Europe is beefing up its defences in the informational space.” He noted how Russia had developed about 30 “mirror sites” for RT to ensure web users in the EU could access them despite bans.
French officials say Russia is turning to more “hybrid” operations combining real actions with online propaganda, such as in November when Star of David graffiti appeared in Paris. Portrayed by French media as part of an uptick in antisemitic incidents after the October 7 Hamas attack, the graffiti also evoked the abuse of Jews during the Holocaust.
But the hundreds of blue Stars of David had been painted by Moldovan nationals acting for a businessman who officials in Chisinău believe to be a Russian agent. Anatoli Prizenco denied that, but said he was part of a pro-Israeli network that commissioned the graffiti. “I wanted to do something to . . . support Jews across Europe,” he said.
The graffiti was boosted on social media via a network of Russian-linked bots and propaganda websites, according to Viginum, to divide French society, which has the largest Jewish population in Europe and the biggest Muslim one.
Le Monde reported that the French DGSI internal security service found the operation was led by Russian spy agency the FSB, in a campaign that also targeted Poland, Spain and Germany.
“Influence operations supported by information warfare and active measures exploited by agents of influence are core components of Russia’s unconventional warfare concepts,” a Royal United Services Institute report said recently.
In France, officials last month unveiled 193 websites dubbed Portal Kombat, which they said had been created by a Crimea-based company to spread proRussian news in French, English, Spanish and German. It could be “quickly activated” during elections.
Even genuine information can be weaponised. A wiretapped conversation of senior German military officers discussing sending powerful missiles to Ukraine was gleefully leaked by Russian state media earlier this month.
The German foreign ministry in January said it had identified one of the largest disinformation networks deployed by Russia: 50,000 bots active on X that questioned Berlin’s support for Kyiv.
EU foreign policy chief Josep Borrell said recently: “Disinformation . . . poisons democracies, because only information makes democracy possible.”
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